Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Pageau 55.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Horvat
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Horvat
Pageau
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
55.8% (1,000)
-0.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
56.6% (182)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
51.2% (170)
-2.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pageau
Home
58.8% (724)
57.1% (674)
Away
55.3% (751)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Horvat
Pageau
P1
57.0%
56.9%
P2
57.5%
54.5%
P3
57.0%
54.7%
OT
36.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |