Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.8%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Pageau 53.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 71.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 56.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Horvat
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Horvat
Pageau
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Pageau
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
3
Horvat
Pageau
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
54.9% (384)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
40.7% (27)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
52.9% (70)
-2.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Pageau is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pageau
Home
57.2% (987)
55.4% (222)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
52.5% (259)
By Period
Horvat
Pageau
P1
53.9%
55.3%
P2
53.7%
55.2%
P3
53.6%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |