Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.2%). Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Tavares 52.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 81.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Horvat
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Horvat
Tavares
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Horvat
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
52.4% (1,121)
-0.3%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
51.3% (304)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
58.8% (17)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tavares
Home
53.1% (420)
56.5% (731)
Away
49.8% (428)
47.8% (711)
By Period
Horvat
Tavares
P1
52.4%
56.1%
P2
49.3%
50.3%
P3
52.8%
50.5%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |