Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Tavares 57.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 68.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Horvat
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Horvat
Tavares
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Horvat
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
57.5% (914)
-2.8%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
60.5% (309)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
59.1% (22)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tavares
Home
59.8% (853)
61.0% (661)
Away
53.8% (832)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Horvat
Tavares
P1
55.0%
58.6%
P2
58.3%
57.8%
P3
57.8%
58.4%
OT
44.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | John Tavares |