Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Tavares 59.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-0 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 81.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Horvat
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
11
(11 meetings)
0
11
Horvat
Tavares
Last 10: Horvat 0-10 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Horvat
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Horvat
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Horvat
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
60.9% (1,043)
-5.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
60.4% (278)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
47.6% (21)
+1.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tavares
Home
58.8% (724)
63.5% (684)
Away
55.3% (751)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Horvat
Tavares
P1
57.0%
60.3%
P2
57.5%
60.4%
P3
57.0%
60.1%
OT
36.4%
92.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |