Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Tavares 54.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 57.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 71.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Horvat
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
25
(40 meetings)
15
25
Horvat
Tavares
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
13
Horvat
Tavares
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
4
Horvat
Tavares
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
8
Horvat
Tavares
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
54.5% (692)
-3.8%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
59.1% (149)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
54.5% (11)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Horvat shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tavares
Home
54.1% (599)
57.9% (404)
Away
51.8% (626)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Horvat
Tavares
P1
50.8%
54.2%
P2
50.0%
55.1%
P3
57.7%
56.4%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |