Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 57.3%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Staal 56.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 54.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Horvat
Staal
Last 9: Horvat 4-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Horvat
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Horvat
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
58.9% (1,041)
-3.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
53.4% (73)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
49.1% (171)
+0.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
58.8% (724)
59.0% (578)
Away
55.3% (751)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
57.0%
57.1%
P2
57.5%
60.9%
P3
57.0%
55.8%
OT
36.4%
20.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |