Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Staal 57.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 62.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
19
(33 meetings)
14
19
Horvat
Staal
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
5
Horvat
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
10
Horvat
Staal
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
4
Horvat
Staal
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
58.9% (1,096)
-5.4%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
68.4% (57)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
51.8% (222)
-0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
54.2% (714)
57.0% (646)
Away
53.6% (705)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
53.5%
55.9%
P2
56.3%
55.4%
P3
53.5%
62.0%
OT
28.6%
70.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |