Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 55.3%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 66 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 88-85 in 173 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
88
-
85
(173 meetings)
88
85
Horvat
Staal
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
47
19
Horvat
Staal
66 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
18
37
Horvat
Staal
55 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
23
29
Horvat
Staal
52 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
55.9% (14,620)
-2.0%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
62.7% (1,745)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
48.0% (2,896)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
56.0% (8,355)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
54.1%
55.2%
P2
54.4%
55.9%
P3
55.0%
54.9%
OT
49.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |