Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Staal 54.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 62.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Horvat
Staal
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
0
Horvat
Staal
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Horvat
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
57.0% (1,017)
+1.6%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
57.7% (26)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
45.1% (286)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
59.2% (684)
54.3% (667)
Away
57.0% (635)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
57.9%
56.2%
P2
55.4%
57.0%
P3
61.5%
49.7%
OT
53.8%
68.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |