Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Staal 55.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Horvat
Staal
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
1
Horvat
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Horvat
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Horvat
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
56.3% (1,115)
-1.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
61.2% (67)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
52.1% (292)
+0.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
59.8% (853)
58.3% (705)
Away
53.8% (832)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
55.0%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
58.2%
P3
57.8%
54.1%
OT
44.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |