Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs McCarron 54.9% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 71.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 59.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Horvat
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
62.8% (86)
-8.1%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
50.0% (2)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
44.4% (18)
+7.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Horvat
McCarron
Home
59.8% (853)
59.5% (42)
Away
53.8% (832)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Horvat
McCarron
P1
55.0%
71.0%
P2
58.3%
48.7%
P3
57.8%
61.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%