Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs McCarron 54.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 71.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 68.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Horvat
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Horvat
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Horvat
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
54.2% (756)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
55.6% (9)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
55.1% (158)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Horvat
McCarron
Home
59.2% (684)
54.6% (445)
Away
57.0% (635)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Horvat
McCarron
P1
57.9%
53.6%
P2
55.4%
55.6%
P3
61.5%
53.7%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |