Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.2%). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs McCarron 52.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 64.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Horvat
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
McCarron
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
54.5% (618)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
42.1% (19)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
35.3% (34)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Horvat
McCarron
Home
54.2% (714)
52.2% (339)
Away
53.6% (705)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Horvat
McCarron
P1
53.5%
53.5%
P2
56.3%
50.6%
P3
53.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |