Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs McCarron 52.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 56.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Horvat
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Horvat
McCarron
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
2
Horvat
McCarron
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
53.4% (2,901)
+0.5%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
45.3% (86)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
50.5% (463)
-3.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Horvat
McCarron
Home
56.0% (8,355)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Horvat
McCarron
P1
54.1%
53.9%
P2
54.4%
52.5%
P3
55.0%
52.0%
OT
49.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |