Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs McCarron 52.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Horvat
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Horvat
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
53.1% (672)
+2.2%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
18.2% (11)
+44.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
53.7% (205)
-7.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Horvat
McCarron
Home
58.2% (469)
52.8% (477)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Horvat
McCarron
P1
59.6%
56.5%
P2
53.1%
53.2%
P3
55.5%
49.0%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |