Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 88.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Horvat
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Horvat
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
45.8% (755)
+9.8%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
48.3% (60)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
27.6% (29)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Horvat
MacKinnon
Home
58.8% (724)
49.5% (396)
Away
55.3% (751)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Horvat
MacKinnon
P1
57.0%
50.2%
P2
57.5%
43.8%
P3
57.0%
41.4%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |