Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 62.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Horvat
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Horvat
MacKinnon
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Horvat
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
49.2% (1,266)
+9.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
54.9% (193)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
49.1% (55)
-3.4%
On even strength, Horvat has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Horvat
MacKinnon
Home
59.2% (684)
50.9% (740)
Away
57.0% (635)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Horvat
MacKinnon
P1
57.9%
50.9%
P2
55.4%
51.8%
P3
61.5%
47.1%
OT
53.8%
58.8%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |