Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 75.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 79.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Horvat
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Horvat
MacKinnon
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
44.7% (1,053)
+10.0%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
36.8% (95)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
65.0% (20)
-12.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Horvat
MacKinnon
Home
59.8% (853)
49.4% (553)
Away
53.8% (832)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Horvat
MacKinnon
P1
55.0%
45.3%
P2
58.3%
42.7%
P3
57.8%
45.1%
OT
44.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |