Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Paul 51.0% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 79.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 68.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 68.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Horvat
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Paul
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Horvat
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
53.5% (312)
+2.8%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
53.8% (26)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
29.4% (34)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paul
Home
57.3% (742)
45.8% (153)
Away
57.4% (741)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Horvat
Paul
P1
59.0%
55.9%
P2
59.7%
48.9%
P3
53.6%
50.0%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |