Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Paul 53.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 54.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 59.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Horvat
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Horvat
Paul
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
5
Horvat
Paul
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Horvat
Paul
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
53.8% (753)
+0.9%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
58.9% (90)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
47.4% (78)
+4.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paul
Home
59.8% (853)
54.2% (450)
Away
53.8% (832)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Horvat
Paul
P1
55.0%
58.2%
P2
58.3%
50.6%
P3
57.8%
52.9%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |