Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Paul 50.0% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 65.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Horvat
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Horvat
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
48.8% (666)
+9.8%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
53.8% (65)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
60.0% (55)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paul
Home
59.2% (684)
49.7% (348)
Away
57.0% (635)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Horvat
Paul
P1
57.9%
51.0%
P2
55.4%
47.4%
P3
61.5%
51.5%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |