Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Paul 53.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 55.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Horvat
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Horvat
Paul
Last 9: Horvat 3-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
6
Horvat
Paul
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
53.2% (327)
+2.1%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
61.4% (57)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
50.0% (32)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paul
Home
58.2% (469)
54.6% (183)
Away
54.0% (544)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Horvat
Paul
P1
59.6%
56.3%
P2
53.1%
54.8%
P3
55.5%
52.4%
OT
55.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
59.6%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |