Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Paul 50.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 76.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 66.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Horvat
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Horvat
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Horvat
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Horvat
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
53.0% (644)
+2.6%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
37.5% (24)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
42.9% (177)
+6.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paul
Home
58.8% (724)
52.5% (516)
Away
55.3% (751)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Horvat
Paul
P1
57.0%
47.6%
P2
57.5%
48.4%
P3
57.0%
54.5%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |