Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.1%). Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Paul 51.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 22-14 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 64.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Horvat
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
22
(36 meetings)
14
22
Horvat
Paul
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
8
9
Horvat
Paul
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
7
Horvat
Paul
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
6
Horvat
Paul
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
56.2% (274)
-5.5%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
52.9% (17)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
43.4% (129)
+0.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Horvat shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paul
Home
54.1% (599)
52.3% (235)
Away
51.8% (626)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Horvat
Paul
P1
50.8%
53.2%
P2
50.0%
53.8%
P3
57.7%
49.3%
OT
57.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 17, 2021 | OT | 04:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | OT | 04:37 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Nick Paul |