Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Sturm 52.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 77.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 63.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Horvat
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Horvat
Sturm
Last 7: Horvat 4-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Horvat
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Horvat
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
54.0% (480)
+1.6%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
28.6% (7)
+36.8%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
50.0% (102)
-0.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Horvat
Sturm
Home
58.8% (724)
54.0% (287)
Away
55.3% (751)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Horvat
Sturm
P1
57.0%
53.5%
P2
57.5%
51.0%
P3
57.0%
55.1%
OT
36.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |