Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Sturm 55.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 59.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Horvat
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Horvat
Sturm
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Sturm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
5
Horvat
Sturm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
56.1% (716)
-1.4%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
67.7% (31)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
51.1% (133)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Horvat
Sturm
Home
59.8% (853)
55.6% (412)
Away
53.8% (832)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Horvat
Sturm
P1
55.0%
59.6%
P2
58.3%
52.0%
P3
57.8%
55.5%
OT
44.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |