Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.2% vs 58.8%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Sturm 57.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 83.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Horvat
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Sturm
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Sturm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Horvat
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
62.1% (356)
-3.5%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
75.0% (4)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
38.7% (62)
+7.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Horvat
Sturm
Home
59.2% (684)
61.8% (191)
Away
57.0% (635)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Horvat
Sturm
P1
57.9%
58.0%
P2
55.4%
57.9%
P3
61.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |