Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Sturm 53.6% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Horvat
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
54.6% (271)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
54.4% (90)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Horvat
Sturm
Home
58.2% (469)
53.0% (168)
Away
54.0% (544)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Horvat
Sturm
P1
59.6%
58.2%
P2
53.1%
53.2%
P3
55.5%
52.3%
OT
55.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%