Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Cates 40.4% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 57.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Horvat
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Horvat
Cates
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
2
Horvat
Cates
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
5
Horvat
Cates
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
40.4% (841)
+14.3%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
42.4% (66)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
32.7% (147)
+19.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cates
Home
59.8% (853)
38.2% (566)
Away
53.8% (832)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Horvat
Cates
P1
55.0%
40.5%
P2
58.3%
42.4%
P3
57.8%
35.3%
OT
44.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |