Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Cates 45.5% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 69.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Horvat
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Horvat
Cates
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Cates
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
45.4% (712)
+9.9%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
42.2% (102)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
44.7% (47)
+1.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cates
Home
58.2% (469)
46.3% (423)
Away
54.0% (544)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Horvat
Cates
P1
59.6%
46.3%
P2
53.1%
47.1%
P3
55.5%
42.1%
OT
55.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
59.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |