Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 31 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Cates 43.2% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 39-30 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 80.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 82.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Horvat
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
30
(69 meetings)
39
30
Horvat
Cates
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
23
8
Horvat
Cates
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
7
12
Horvat
Cates
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
9
10
Horvat
Cates
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
44.1% (2,742)
+9.8%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
43.0% (242)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
34.9% (373)
+12.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cates
Home
56.0% (8,355)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Horvat
Cates
P1
54.1%
44.5%
P2
54.4%
43.5%
P3
55.0%
41.2%
OT
49.6%
29.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |