Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Cates 45.8% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 71.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Horvat
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Cates
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Cates
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Horvat
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
44.3% (271)
+9.2%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
77.8% (18)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
31.7% (41)
+19.6%
On power play, Cates has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cates
Home
54.2% (714)
52.0% (148)
Away
53.6% (705)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Horvat
Cates
P1
53.5%
42.7%
P2
56.3%
42.9%
P3
53.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |