Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Cates 45.1% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Horvat
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Horvat
Cates
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
2
Horvat
Cates
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Cates
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
5
Horvat
Cates
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
46.7% (912)
+11.9%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
33.9% (56)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
35.0% (137)
+10.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cates
Home
59.2% (684)
46.1% (521)
Away
57.0% (635)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Horvat
Cates
P1
57.9%
48.0%
P2
55.4%
42.3%
P3
61.5%
44.3%
OT
53.8%
31.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Noah Cates |