Bo Horvat vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 54 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 80-62 in 142 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 84.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 81.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
80
-
62
(142 meetings)
80
62
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
31
23
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
54 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
26
24
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
50 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
23
15
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
44.9% (8,756)
+9.0%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
50.7% (839)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
37.9% (879)
+9.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.0% (8,355)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.1%
45.1%
P2
54.4%
43.9%
P3
55.0%
45.3%
OT
49.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | OT | 01:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2024 | OT | 00:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |