Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 50.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
47.6% (231)
+7.7%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
83.3% (12)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
33.3% (21)
+13.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.2% (469)
51.2% (164)
Away
54.0% (544)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
59.6%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
46.2%
P3
55.5%
49.5%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%