Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Horvat 4-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
43.0% (349)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
31.8% (88)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.8% (724)
38.5% (231)
Away
55.3% (751)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.0%
40.2%
P2
57.5%
36.0%
P3
57.0%
45.1%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |