Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
2
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
4
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
45.4% (527)
+9.3%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
41.2% (17)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
44.9% (138)
+7.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.8% (853)
46.1% (336)
Away
53.8% (832)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.0%
49.1%
P2
58.3%
45.3%
P3
57.8%
42.0%
OT
44.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |