Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
50.3% (479)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
50.0% (28)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
30.0% (50)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.2% (684)
48.9% (270)
Away
57.0% (635)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.9%
48.7%
P2
55.4%
50.0%
P3
61.5%
47.3%
OT
53.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | OT | 01:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2024 | OT | 00:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |