Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
51.0% (408)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
0.0% (6)
+56.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
35.9% (78)
+15.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.2% (714)
50.8% (258)
Away
53.6% (705)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.5%
51.6%
P2
56.3%
45.2%
P3
53.5%
47.6%
OT
28.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |