Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 65.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
5
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
46.7% (137)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
39.1% (23)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.1% (599)
53.9% (89)
Away
51.8% (626)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.8%
50.9%
P2
50.0%
36.7%
P3
57.7%
48.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |