Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Poehling 47.0% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 65.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Horvat
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Poehling
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Horvat
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
45.1% (437)
+10.5%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
56.4% (39)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
61.5% (13)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Horvat
Poehling
Home
58.8% (724)
46.6% (232)
Away
55.3% (751)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Horvat
Poehling
P1
57.0%
43.9%
P2
57.5%
49.1%
P3
57.0%
46.4%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |