Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Poehling 49.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 76.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 60.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Horvat
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Horvat
Poehling
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
6
Horvat
Poehling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Horvat
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
50.4% (752)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
37.0% (27)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
45.3% (159)
+6.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Horvat
Poehling
Home
54.2% (714)
51.2% (467)
Away
53.6% (705)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Horvat
Poehling
P1
53.5%
54.6%
P2
56.3%
46.7%
P3
53.5%
46.7%
OT
28.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 02:56 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |