Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Poehling 50.8% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 85.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 64.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Horvat
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horvat
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Horvat
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Horvat
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
52.6% (622)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
58.3% (12)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
39.8% (103)
+5.9%
On even strength, Horvat has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Horvat
Poehling
Home
59.2% (684)
53.2% (393)
Away
57.0% (635)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Horvat
Poehling
P1
57.9%
50.9%
P2
55.4%
56.2%
P3
61.5%
46.1%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |