Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Poehling 46.2% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 51.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Horvat
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Poehling
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Horvat
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
46.5% (269)
+8.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
66.7% (3)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
42.4% (139)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Horvat
Poehling
Home
59.8% (853)
45.2% (177)
Away
53.8% (832)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Horvat
Poehling
P1
55.0%
47.7%
P2
58.3%
44.4%
P3
57.8%
44.6%
OT
44.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |