Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Poehling 47.4% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 65.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Horvat
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Horvat
Poehling
Last 7: Horvat 6-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Horvat
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
49.8% (626)
+5.5%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
58.3% (12)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
38.2% (207)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Horvat
Poehling
Home
58.2% (469)
47.3% (404)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Horvat
Poehling
P1
59.6%
53.5%
P2
53.1%
39.4%
P3
55.5%
49.1%
OT
55.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |