Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 68.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Horvat
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Horvat
Stamkos
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
5
Horvat
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
49.3% (789)
+6.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
56.9% (181)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
54.1% (98)
-4.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stamkos
Home
58.8% (724)
52.0% (512)
Away
55.3% (751)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Horvat
Stamkos
P1
57.0%
42.1%
P2
57.5%
56.4%
P3
57.0%
53.7%
OT
36.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |