Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 42-21 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 76.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 74.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Horvat
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
42
(63 meetings)
21
42
Horvat
Stamkos
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
10
18
Horvat
Stamkos
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
7
15
Horvat
Stamkos
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
9
Horvat
Stamkos
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
50.4% (9,799)
+3.5%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
55.1% (1,725)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
49.7% (825)
-2.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stamkos
Home
56.0% (8,355)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Horvat
Stamkos
P1
54.1%
49.1%
P2
54.4%
52.7%
P3
55.0%
50.9%
OT
49.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |