Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 54.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 87.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Horvat
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Horvat
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
49.3% (670)
+9.3%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
53.7% (121)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
33.3% (3)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stamkos
Home
59.2% (684)
54.0% (400)
Away
57.0% (635)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Horvat
Stamkos
P1
57.9%
48.6%
P2
55.4%
54.5%
P3
61.5%
45.4%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |