Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 64.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 66.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Horvat
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Horvat
Stamkos
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
4
Horvat
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Horvat
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Horvat
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
55.9% (499)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
56.3% (126)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
58.3% (12)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stamkos
Home
54.2% (714)
55.3% (349)
Away
53.6% (705)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Horvat
Stamkos
P1
53.5%
57.0%
P2
56.3%
59.2%
P3
53.5%
51.5%
OT
28.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |